Opinions, analysis and commentary

Mikkel Damsgaard against Portugal’s protected pivot is the contest that decides this tie. Portugal arrive in Copenhagen with six points from two games, chasing a third straight win at Parken on Thursday, 1 October (18:45 GMT). Denmark have three. Forget the forwards: this Group A4 tie will be settled in the middle third, where Denmark’s thin options meet Portugal’s compact pivot and a creator is missing. Damsgaard is the one Danish creator who can make that screen uncomfortable, which is why his duel with Palhinha and Neves matters most.
Denmark’s confirmed absentees are Patrick Dorgu and Albert Grønbaek. Dorgu hurt his hamstring against Wales and has returned to Manchester United, while attacking midfielder Grønbaek is out for a few weeks with a thigh injury. No replacements have been officially confirmed. Denmark’s options in the middle are thin, which puts pressure on the holding pair to cover more ground.
The predicted XI keeps Morten Hjulmand and Pierre-Emile Højbjerg as the holding pair, with Mikkel Damsgaard ahead of them and Gustav Isaksen wide. Without Grønbaek, Damsgaard is likely to carry more of the creative load. Denmark’s campaign so far: a 3-2 defeat at Norway, then a 2-0 home win over Wales.
Figures cover the first two Nations League rounds.
| Player | Team | Match Details & Minutes Played | Chances Created / Key Passes | Defenses (Tackles & Interceptions) | Passing Accuracy & Production |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | Denmark | vs Norway (L 2-3): Played 82 mins
vs Wales (W 2-0): Played 88 mins |
1 Goal vs Norway
2 Key Passes vs Wales |
2 Tackles vs Norway
1 Interception vs Wales |
35/44 accurate passes vs Norway
43/47 accurate passes vs Wales |
| João Palhinha | Portugal | vs Wales (W 1-0): Subbed in (24 mins)
vs Norway (W 2-1): Started (80 mins) |
0 Goals / 0 Assists
1 Shot vs Wales |
1 Tackle vs Norway
2 Interceptions vs Norway |
15/15 accurate passes vs Wales
21/24 accurate passes vs Norway |
| João Neves | Portugal | vs Wales (W 1-0): Did not play
vs Norway (W 2-1): Started (56 mins) |
0 Goals / 0 Assists
1 Shot vs Norway |
1 Tackle vs Norway
0 Interceptions |
27/31 accurate passes vs Norway |
Damsgaard is the clearest signal: he created chances in both games, hit the post from range against Wales and delivered the set pieces for both Danish goals.
Damsgaard thrives in the pockets between midfield and defence. Against Norway, he scored from a free kick, completed all six dribbles and won ten ground duels in 82 minutes. Against Wales, Denmark controlled 62% of possession and completed 516 passes. That kind of control only matters if Denmark can turn it into chances against a side that rarely panics.
Portugal’s screen is tougher. Palhinha was the anchor in Oslo, booked on 49 minutes, while João Neves was replaced by Vitinha shortly before the hour. Norway had 62% possession and 2.52 xG, yet Portugal won 2-1. That shows how well they absorb pressure, and Denmark’s possession game must break that resistance.
Bruno Fernandes is sidelined with physical discomfort. In Oslo, Portugal lined up in a 4-2-3-1 with Palhinha and João Neves as the double pivot. The predicted XI for Copenhagen pairs Rúben Neves with Vitinha, with João Félix behind Gonçalo Ramos and Rafael Leão and Bernardo Silva wide.
Félix scored against both Wales and Norway, and Ramos struck in Oslo for his 12th international goal. Bruno’s absence removes a creator, but Portugal have cover. Rúben Neves and Vitinha will be asked to supply the passing he normally provides.
Portugal hold the edge. They lead the overall head-to-head 11 wins to Denmark’s four, with two draws from 17 meetings. The record is lopsided, yet the latest meeting shows Denmark can still cause problems.
Their last Nations League meeting was the March 2025 quarter-final: Denmark won the first leg 1-0 through a late Højlund goal, before Portugal won the second leg 5-2.
In the Denmark vs Portugal UEFA Nations League midfield battle, Portugal have the deeper, better-protected pivot, but Damsgaard’s set-piece delivery keeps Denmark dangerous. Verdict: a narrow Portugal advantage, with Damsgaard the player to watch.
Who wins the middle of the park in Copenhagen, Damsgaard or Portugal’s pivot? Give us your prediction in the comments.
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Who will win Denmark vs Portugal in the UEFA Nations League?
Portugal are slight favourites with two wins from two and 11 victories in 17 meetings. Denmark, however, are unbeaten in their last nine home matches.
What time is Denmark vs Portugal in IST?
Kick-off is 12:15 AM IST on Friday, 2 October 2026. That is 18:45 GMT on Thursday, 1 October, or 20:45 local time at Parken Stadium in Copenhagen.
Where to watch Denmark vs Portugal live in India?
Sony Sports Network is listed as the Indian broadcaster. Check UEFA’s official broadcaster list for the exact streaming platform, since listings can change close to kick-off.
Is Cristiano Ronaldo playing against Denmark?
Ronaldo’s start is still unconfirmed for Thursday. The 41-year-old is in the squad but was an unused substitute against Norway, and the predicted XI has Gonçalo Ramos leading the line.
Who is Portugal’s manager?
Jorge Jesus, 72, is Portugal’s manager. He was appointed in July 2026 after Roberto Martínez stepped down following the World Cup exit, and previously coached Ronaldo at Al-Nassr in Saudi Arabia.
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